| THE ANNUAL REPORT OF THE PDEXCIL FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR 1999-2000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
1. The year under review witnessed a sluggish export growth rate of 2.80% in terms of US dollars and 5.92% in terms of rupees for powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups, as compared to the previous year. The slow-down in the exports of powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups for the year under review (1999-2000) must be viewed against the backdrop of certain external developments and domestic constraints, for all the products in general, having a critical bearing thereon. Domestic uncertainty arising from out of a variety of non-economic factors also played a role in the slow turnaround in the exports of powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups thereof. 2. The East-Asian crisis, which erupted in July 1999, spread rapidly across other emerging economies through 1998. The crisis led to fears of widespread credit crunch and concomitant recession. However, beginning early 1999, most of the economies affected by the crisis had begun to recover, and global economic and financial conditions have improved markedly. The decline in many commodity prices had also been arrested. World trade prices, in US dollars, of non-fuel primary commodities were projected to increase by 2.8 per cent in 2000, in contrast to the declines of 15.7 per cent and 11.2 per cent in 1998 and 1999, respectively. Similarly, prices of manufactures, as represented by unit value index of manufactures exports from G-5 countries (USA, UK, Germany, Japan and France) to developing countries, were expected to increase by 2.5 percent in 2000, as against a decline of 3.9 percent in 1998 and 0.6 per cent in 1999. The recession in Japan deepened during 1998, but economic activity in early 1999 witnessed a sharp rebound. Global growth has bottomed out at 1.9 per cent in 1998 and estimates/forecasts pointed to a recovery to 2.6 per cent in 1999 and 2.9 per cent in 2000. However, there were downside risks including, inter-alia, a slowdown in the United States from the present robust performance, doubts about the strength of the Japanese recovery after a protracted recession and some concerns about the sustainability of the (so far partial) recovery in East Asia. Slower output growth in all the main country groups in 1998 led to a sharp slowdown in the growth of world trade volume to an estimated 4.2 per cent in 1998 and 5 per cent in 1999. World trade volume, though projected to recover significantly to 6.4 percent in 2000 will, nevertheless, be much below the volume growth of 10.5 per cent reached in 1997. 3. According to the Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence & Statistics (DGCI&S) data, exports in 1998-99 declined by 3.9 per cent in US Dollar value as compared to an increase of 4.6 percent in 1997-98. Continued weak international commodity prices in 1998, however, pointed to a better performance of exports in real terms during this period as compared to the value performance. According to the latest IMF World Economic Outlook, the world prices (in US Dollar) of non-oil primary commodities declined by about 15 per cent in 1998. Manufactures prices also declined in 1998 but by considerably less than those of primary products. Exports in the current financial year, for all products, however, have witnessed a significant turnaround with a growth rate of 12.9 per cent (in US Dollar value) during April-December, 1999 as against a decline of 2.9 per cent in the corresponding period of last year. The buoyancy is explained partly by the revival of world trade on the heels of the East Asian recovery and a modest recovery in some global commodity prices. Low inflation in the domestic economy may have also strengthened the competitiveness of India's exports in global markets. 4. Structural constraints operating on the demand as well as supply side of our exports contributed to the slow down/decline in exports during 1996-97 to 1998-99. The recessionary tendencies across the world severely affected the demand side of our exports. The reduction in global demand led to a substantial contraction in world trade. The world economy slowed down from 3.2 per cent in 1997 to 1.9 per cent in 1998. World merchandise exports, in value terms, declined by 1.6 per cent in 1998 as compared to an increase of 3.5 per cent in 1997. The decline in exports from the developing countries was even sharper with exports declining by 6.3 per cent as against a rise of 6.3 per cent in 1997. Reflecting continuing sluggishness in the nine months of 1999 in manufactured and commodity prices, there was a further decline of 0.4 per cent in world exports and 0.2 per cent in exports from developing countries. The economic contraction in the East Asian countries resulted in a sharp decline in import demand, which in turn, resulted in a massive turnaround in the current account balance of these countries; the current account balance of the Asian developing countries rose significantly to a surplus of $ 51 billion in 1998 from a surplus of US$ 5 billion in 1997. Since Asia accounts for about one fifth of India's exports, India could not escape the fallout from such import compression. In this context, the recovery of East Asian economies and improvement in the global trade environment augured well for Indian exports in the current financial year. 5. Imports into the advanced economies, which are India's major trading partners, had also slowed down reflecting both a weak demand and also movements in cross currency exchange rates. The growth rate of merchandise imports (in U.S. Dollar value) of advanced economies remained sluggish at 2.6 per cent in 1998 as compared to 2.1 per cent in 1997. Growth of world merchandise imports, on the other hand, decelerated from 3.3 per cent in 1997 to a decline by 1.5 per cent in 1998. While there has been some recovery in imports into the advanced economies in 1999 with a growth rate of 4.3 per cent, world merchandise imports in the first three quarters of 1999 remained depressed with a decline of 0.5 per cent. Nevertheless, imports by countries like U.K. and Germany remain sluggish. 6. The movement of the Rupee against the currencies of India's major trading partners in 1998-99 have largely corrected for the appreciation of the rupee in the previous year in real effective exchange terms. The exchange rate has been relatively stable in 1999-2000. The downward movement in the real value of the Rupee has been only modest compared to the East Asian currencies. The cumulative nominal depreciation of the Rupee since the onset of the East Asian crisis in July, 1997 has been of the order of 17.6 per cent as on 2nd February, 1999 as against a depreciation of 65.8 per cent of the Indonesian Rupiah, 32.5 per cent of the Thailand Baht, 35.1 per cent of the Phillipines Peso, 33.8 per cent of Malaysian Ringgit, 21.8 per cent of the Korean Won and 14.8 per cent of the Singapore Dollar. Exchange rate depreciations of such magnitude not only provide increased competition in export markets but also impart enhanced import competition in the domestic market. 7. Trade Policy reforms over a period of time, with effect from 1991 have sought to eliminate various impediments to promotion of trade in volumes and export growth. The extant EXIM Policy (1997-2002) continues the ongoing process. In the light of the continued slowdown in exports, various initiatives were announced in the recent past, which include;
All these measures are forward looking, aimed at raising the level of competitiveness
of Indian exports to enable it to capture a larger share of the global commercial
market.
9. On the domestic front, infrastructure bottlenecks such as poor port facilities, woeful road conditions, inadequate and irregular power supply, less-than satisfactory telecommunication systems, etc., high transaction costs, labour inflexibility, etc. have had an adverse bearing on export production and promotion, apart from the other problems in the areas of export policies and procedures, indirect taxes and other local taxes & banking & fiscal issues. Despite tremendous potential, the lack of long term policies continue to hinder exports. 10. Notwithstanding all the above-mentioned vagaries, powerloom cotton textiles registered an export growth rate of 5.92% in the year 1999-2000, over the preceding year 1998-99, with such exports touching Rs. 4,889/- crore (approx.) & Rs. 5, 178/- crore (approx.) in the financial years 1998-99 & 1999-2000 respectively. Against this position, mill-made cotton fabrics and made-ups recorded an export growth rate of 13.58% (overall) for the year 1999-2000, vis-à-vis the year 1998-99, when such exports touched value figures of Rs. 3,180/- crore (approx.) and Rs. 3,612/- crore (approx.) respectively, in 1998-99 & 1999-2000. The data pertaining to the export of powerloom and mill-made (machine woven) cotton textiles in the last 6 financial years and calendar years, are reflected in the tables 1, 2 & 3 annexed thereto. |
| COMMITTEE OF ADMINISTRATION | |
| The 4th Annual General Meeting of the PDEXCIL was held on the 18th of September, 1999, at the Babasaheb Dahanukar
Sabhagriha Hall of the Maharashtra Chamber of Commerce & Industry, 12, K. Dubhash Marg, Mumbai - 400 001. 2. The composition of the Committee of Administration of the PDEXCIL has thereafter been as follows :- |
|
1. Shri M.S. Mathivanan, |
13. Shri S. Raghunathan |
3.
During the year under review, the Committee of Administration (Committee) met
6 times on 18/5/1999, 14/7/1999, 18/9/1999, 2/12/1999, 25/1/2000 & 24/3/2000,
under the chairmanship of Shri M.S. Mathivanan, to consider and decide on matters
concerning the development & export promotion of the fabrics manufactured in the
decentralised powerloom sector and the made-ups there-out-of. The Committee was
assisted in its task by the following statutory Panels/Committee :- 4. Shri M.S. Mathivanan, Chairman, in his address on the occasion of the 4th Annual General Meeting of the PDEXCIL held on 18.09.1999, highlighted the need for the modernisation and upgradation of the technology of the small scale powerloom sector which produces around 56% of fabrics in the country, generates considerable exports thereof and caters to the needs of the local garment industry for the domestic market and for the exports thereof from the country. The Chairman, in his address, sincerely thanked the Hon'ble Union Minister for Textiles and all other officers in the Ministry of Textiles for the creation and operationalisation of the Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (TUFS). He stressed the need for permitting 10 years second hand shuttleless looms without any restriction, reduction in margin money towards promoter's contribution and financing of the powerloom sector without collateral security, towards making the TUFS successful in its implementation. He expected a greater role for the powerloom sector in the new Textile Policy to be announced by the Govt. of India which can lead to development of the textile industry of India. He further stressed on other major areas of concern of the decentralised powerloom industry, such as stagnancy in the share of the Powerloom Exporters' Entitlement (PEE) at 10% of the overall textiles export quota kitty, undue protection being accorded to the handloom sector including by way of reservation of certain items of textiles by it at the expense of the powerloom sector, increased recourse by the developed countries to other protectionist non-tariff barriers, etc., major shift in sources of import due to formation of regional trading blocs and preferential trade treaties by U.S.A. and E.E.C. covering outward processing trade (OPT), etc. apart from slew of other domestic and external factors specifically pertaining to the healthy and harmonious development of the decentralised powerloom sector in India. 5.
The general body [A.G.M.] of the Council has also unanimously passed
resolutions adopting the annual report of the Committee, the Council's audited
balance-sheet and income & expenditure account for the financial year that ended on
the 31st of March, 1999, appointing the auditors and also passed special resolutions,
deleting the extant article 4 and article 45 of the Articles of Association of the
PDEXCIL and substituting it with a new one thereof and noting the election of the
following members to the Committee :- 6.
The Committee during the year under review took up and made several recommendations to the Govt. of India towards the modernisation and
upgradation of the technology of the decentralised powerloom sector and the development and promotion of the exports of the products thereof. Some
of the important suggestions made by the Council to the Government are as follows :- 7. DEVELOPMENTAL ISSUES :
3. (i) The Council participated and sponsored partly the Asia-Pacific Clothing and
Textile Industry forum held at New Delhi on the 13th & 14th of December, 1999.
(2) Sales-cum-Study Teams [SST] of powerloom textile exporters, supported by the Council official, were sponsored by the Council to the following promising overseas markets;
(3) A Market survey for Indian powerloom textiles, viz. fabrics & made-ups, was
conducted by our Council at Sri Lanka from 9/9/1999 to 12/9/1999. |
