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THE ANNUAL REPORT OF THE POWERLOOM DEVELOPMENT AND EXPORT PROMOTION COUNCIL [PDEXCIL] FOR THE FINANCIAL YEAR 2001-2002. At the time of preparation of the Annual Report for the year under review, the figures of exports of powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups as compiled from the DGCIS statistics was Rs. 33,096.87 millions for the period April 2001 to January 2002. Proportionately, it is estimated that the exports of powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups for the full financial year April 2001 to March 2002 shall be to the tune of Rs. 39,716.24 millions. The exports of powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups for the financial year 2000-2001 was Rs. 43,352.57 millions. Thus it is estimated that for the year under review, there shall be a negative growth rate to the tune of approximately 8.39% over the previous financial year 2000-2001. The exports of powerloom cotton fabrics and made-ups for the year under review (2001-2002) must be viewed against the backdrop of certain external development and domestic constraints, for all the products in general, having a critical bearing thereon.
2. The robust expansion in global economic activity witnessed in 2000 was followed by a marked slowdown in 2001. The Buoyant economic conditions and higher growth in global output in the year 2000 were attributable to sustained market expansion in the United States, modest revival in the Euro area, sharp pick-up in the newly industralised Asian economies and strong growth performance by developing Asia and transition economies. In contrast, the scenario for the year 2001 is subdued. The downturn in the US economy has been formally declared as a recession. Japan is likely to experience its fourth economic recession of the last decade. Economic activity has also considerably dampened in the Euro area. With signs of revival absent in the G-3 and almost everywhere else in the world, the global slowdown has assumed a synchronized, self-reinforcing dimension. The synchronicity of the current slowdown is the most marked in the last two decades.
3. The terrorist attacks in the United States on 11th September 2001 and subsequent retaliation by the United States in Afghanistan have further dampened the short-term prospects for global recovery. Regional growth projections have been further moderated in the aftermath of the attacks. The intensity of the setback to global recovery will depend upon the magnitude of the damage inflicted upon consumer sentiment, business confidence and risk perceptions, particularly, in the emerging and low income countries.
4. World imports in 2001 so far have also remained sluggish with all the major countries like USA, Japan UK and Germany witnessing a contraction in their import demand following in the slowdown in world economy. Such a synchronized decline in import demand from major destination countries has made the trade outlook more bleak and is likely to impact our export growth in the current financial year.
5. The exchange rate of the rupee remained broadly stable, appreciating only marginally, in real effective terms during 2000-01, depreciating in nominal terms by about 5.1 percent against the US Dollar but strengthening against other major currencies. The appreciation of the Rupee in real effective exchange terms has, however, picked up in the year 2001-2002 affecting the competitiveness of our exports. The downward movement in the nominal value of the rupee in the recent past has been only modest compared to some of the East Asian currencies. The cumulative depreciation of the Rupee since March 2000 has been of the order of 9.2 per cent upto November 2001 as compared to a depreciation of 29.4 per cent for the Indonesian Rupiah, 22.3 per cent for the Philippines Peso, 14.7 per cent for the Thailand Baht, 13.0 per cent for the Korean won and 11.4 per cent for the Singapore Dollar. The Malaysian Ringgit and the Chinese Yuan were stable during this period. Such a comparison of currency movements in the recent past would seem to indicate that our exports continue to be adversely impacted from a price competitiveness point of view.
6. Exports of developing countries like India continue to be threatened by the emerging protectionist sentiments in some sectors in the guise of technical standards, environmental and social concerns. Non trade barriers like anti-dumping duties, countervailing duties, safeguard measures and sanitary and phytosanitary measures have affected market access for exports from the developing countries.Market access is also affected by the tariff differential in imports by the developed countries, with average tariff on developing countries imports being higher than on imports from the developed countries.
7. Trade policy reforms over the last decade have aimed at creating an environment for achieving rapid increase in exports, raising India's share in world exports and making exports an engine for achieving higher economic growth. The focus of these reforms have been on liberalization, openness, transparency and globalisation with a basic thrust on outward orientation focusing on export promotion activity, moving away from quantitative restrictions and improving competitiveness of Indian industry to meet global market requirements. Over the years, significant changes in the EXIM policy have helped to strengthen the export production base, remove procedural irritants, facilitate input availability besides focusing on quality and technological upgradation and improving competitiveness. Steps have also been taken to promote exports through multilateral and bilateral initiatives, identification of thrust areas and focus regions. Government have already set up a High Level Committee for formulating EXIM Policy for the next five years for the ongoing medium term policy 1997-2002. Highlights of various trade policy measures announced by the Government in the recent past are given below:
I. Measures announced in the Union Budget 2001-02
II. Measures announced in the Annual EXIM Policy 2001
III. Other Measures
8. On the domestic front, infrastructure bottlenecks such as poor port facilities, woeful road conditions, inadequate and irregular power supply, less-than satisfactory telecommunication systems, etc., high transaction costs, labour inflexibility, etc. have had an adverse bearing on export production and promotion, apart from the other problems in the areas of export policies and procedures, indirect taxes and other local taxes & banking & fiscal issues. Despite tremendous potential, the lack of long term policies continue to hinder exports. |